The Met Office has now admitted to BBC News that its annual global mean forecast predicted temperatures higher than actual temperatures for nine years out of the last 10.

This “warming bias” is very small - just 0.05C.  And the Met Office points out that the variance between the forecast and the actual temperature is within its own stated margins of error.

Professor Chris Folland from the Met Office said a re-analysis of weather science might even show that the actual temperature measurements have under-recorded recent warming - making the Met Office forecast even more accurate than it appears.

Posted by: Old Grouch in In Passing at 01:01:04 GMT | No Comments | Add Comment
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